In short, the good news for McCain is that he has successfully pulled his party together and competes very well among independents. My guess is thathe has a good chance of replicating the number of votes won by President Bush in 2004, on both a national and state-by-state level. The $64,000 question is whether the greater enthusiasm levels that we are seeing among Democrats this yearwill give either Obama or Clinton vote totals that run substantially higher than John Kerry received in 2004.
From the email newsletter; see link. I also heard a bit of Ed Rollins last night, I believe saying that McCain isn't winning but that the Dems are beating themselves. Right again, I'd say.