I'll Take Second-Tier French Impressionists for $200, Alex

I've been in the Metropolitan Museum of Art(in NYC) on three occasions in the past year, On two of these, I've run into my friend Steve. Steve, at least, lives in New York City. Maybe there is something in the fact that both times we were surveying the work of second-tier French Impressionists.

But as an exercise, the student is left to consider the question: what is the likelihood that Steve spends two thirds of his life at the Met?

For comparison, the student may wish to estimate the odds that Rosencrantz and Guildenstern get a coin-flip on 92 separate occasions to come up heads.

Or he may further wish to consider implications of the proposition that 20 percent of all people who ever lived are alive today. This means that only 80 percent of all people have died: we therefore have too little evidence to conclude that people are not immortal.