Saturday, January 05, 2008

Political Footnotes while Queuing

I'm queued up waiting to get online with Comcast to report an outage (I'm 165! Ooh, I'm 168! Ah, I'm 157!). Anyway, I might as well take the time to data-mine the Iowa statistic (culled from Saturday's paper NYT):
  • The youth-and-women candidates: Obama and Huckabee. Both swamped the competition among young voters. Huckabee also had a strong lead among women. NYT says Obama ran "almost as well" among women as Hillary--but I could swear I heard somebody on the radio just now saying he actually led her among women.

  • John Edwards' best income bracket: voters with incomes over $100,000--so much for working-class populism. But Edwards is also the runaway favorite among caucusers who identify themselves as "conservative" (and BTW, how long has it been that voters with incomes over $100,000 have been numerous enough to count in the Iowa caucus?).

  • If New Hampshire is shaping up as McCain v. Obama, here's a curiosity: among Democrats, Obama got 50 percent of the under-45 vote (and only 24 percent of those over 45). Meanwhile among Republicans, McCain got 58 percent of voters over 60. So, old v. young?

  • Kleiman speculated the other day (link) that independents in New Hampshire will abandon McCain for Obama. But actually iin the Iowa Republican caucus, McCain did not rank first among independents: that ribbon goes to Ron Paul.

  • Ha!"Among those who said that shared values or personal convictions were the most important consideration, almost no one voted for Mr. Giuliani."

I'm up to 121 in the queue. This is going to be a long morning.

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